Unyaka wokuqalwa kokukhiqizwa kukakotini waseBrazil usushintshiwe, futhi ukukhiqizwa kukakotini ka-2023/24 kuyiswe ku-2023 esikhundleni sika-2024. Umbiko ubikezela ukuthi indawo yokutshala ukotini eBrazil izoba amahektha ayizigidi ezingu-1.7 ngo-2023/24, futhi isibikezelo esiphumayo sizokhushulelwa kumabhele ayizigidi ezingu-14.7 (amathani ayizigidi ezingu-3.2), ngenxa ye-Dafengshou (Isaladi yemifino emisha ehlukahlukene) kakotini ezweni, futhi isimo sezulu esihle sizokwandisa isivuno sikakotini endaweni ngayinye yeyunithi yesifunda ngasinye.Ngemuva kokulungiswa komkhiqizo, ukukhiqizwa kukakotini waseBrazil ngo-2023/24 kwedlula okwase-United States okokuqala ngqa.
Umbiko uthi ukusetshenziswa kukakotini eBrazil ngo-2023/24 bekungamabhele ayizigidi ezi-3.3 (amathani ayi-750000), okulinganiselwa ku-11 million amabhele (amathani ayizigidi ezi-2.4), ngenxa yokwanda kokungeniswa nokusetshenziswa kukakotini emhlabeni jikelele, kanye ukwehla kokukhiqizwa eChina, India, nase-United States.Lo mbiko ubikezela ukuthi inani lokugcina likakotini waseBrazil ngonyaka wezi-2023/24 lizoba amabhala ayizigidi ezingu-6 (amathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.3), ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokwanda kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe nokusetshenziswa kwasekhaya.
Ngokombiko, indawo okutshalwe kuyo ukotini eBrazil ngonyaka wezi-2023/24 ibingamahektha ayizigidi eziyi-1.7, cishe ngokulingana nomlando ophakeme ka-2020/21, okuwukukhula cishe ngo-4% unyaka nonyaka kanye nokukhula ngo-11. % uma kuqhathaniswa nesilinganiso seminyaka emihlanu edlule.Ukwandiswa kokutshalwa kukakotini e-Brazil ikakhulukazi kungenxa yokwanda kwezindawo ezisezifundeni zase-Mato Grosso nase-Bahia, ezihlanganisa u-91% wokukhiqizwa kukakotini wase-Brazil.Kulo nyaka, indawo yeSifundazwe sase-Mato Grosso isikhule yaba amahektha ayizigidi ezingu-1.2, ikakhulukazi ngenxa kakotini onenzuzo yokuncintisana ngaphezu kommbila, ikakhulukazi ngokwenani nezindleko.
Ngokombiko, ukukhiqizwa kukakotini waseBrazil ngo-2023/24 kunyuswe kwafinyelela ku-14.7 million amabhele (3.2 million amathani), okuwukunyuka kwamabhala angu-600000 uma kuqhathaniswa nangaphambili, okuwukunyuka konyaka ngo-20%.Isizathu esikhulu ukuthi isimo sezulu ezindaweni ezikhiqiza ukotini sihle kakhulu, ikakhulukazi ngesikhathi sokuvuna, futhi isivuno sifinyelele emlandweni ophezulu wamakhilogremu angu-1930 ihektha ngalinye.Ngokwezibalo ze-CONAB, izifunda ezingu-12 kwezingu-14 ezikhiqiza ukotini e-Brazil zinesivuno esiphezulu sikakotini ngokomlando, okuhlanganisa i-Mato Grosso ne-Bahia.
Uma sibheka phambili ku-2024, unyaka omusha wokukhiqizwa kukakotini esifundazweni sase-Mato Grosso, eBrazil uzoqala ngo-December 2023. Ngenxa yokwehla kokuncintisana kommbila, indawo kakotini esifundazweni kulindeleke ukuthi yande.Ukuhlwanyelwa kwamasimu omhlaba owomile esifundazweni sase-Bahia kuqale ekupheleni kukaLwezi.Ngokwemininingwane evela ku-Brazilian Cotton Farmers Association, cishe u-92% wokukhiqizwa kukakotini e-Brazil uvela emasimini asendaweni eyomile, kuyilapho u-9% osele uvela emasimini aniselwayo.
Ngokombiko, ukuthengiswa kukakotini waseBrazil kulo nyaka kulindeleke ukuthi kube amabhala ayizigidi eziyi-11 (amathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.4), okucishe kuhambisane nezinga eliphezulu lomlando ngo-2020/21.Izizathu eziyinhloko ukwehla kwezinga lokushintshisana kwangempela laseBrazil uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika, ukwenyuka kwempahla ethengwayo emhlabeni wonke (eholwa yiChina neBangladesh) nokusetshenziswa (ikakhulukazi iPakistan), kanye nokwehla kokukhiqizwa kukakotini eChina, eNdiya nase-United States. Amazwe.
Ngokwezibalo ze-Brazilian International Trade Secretariat, i-Brazil ithumele isamba semali eyizigidi ezingu-4.7 (isigidi samathani angu-1) kakotini kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya ku-Okthoba 2023. Kusukela ngo-Agasti kuya ku-Okthoba 2023/24, i-China ibilokhu ingenisa ukotini omkhulu kunabo bonke, ingenisa ngaphandle. isamba samabhele ayizigidi eziyi-1.5 (amathani angu-322000), ukwanda konyaka ngonyaka ngama-54%, okubalelwa ku-62% wokuthunyelwa kukakotini waseBrazil.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Dec-12-2023