Iyini imithelela yokuncipha okukhulu kokungeniswa kukakotini waseVietnam

Iyini imithelela yokuncipha okukhulu kokungeniswa kukakotini waseVietnam
Ngokwezibalo, ngoFebhuwari 2023, iVietnam yangenisa amathani angama-77000 kakotini (ongaphansi kwesilinganiso somthamo wokungenisa ojwayelekile eminyakeni emihlanu edlule), ukwehla konyaka nonyaka ngama-35.4%, lapho amabhizinisi endwangu avela kwamanye amazwe athatha ama-74%. yenani eliphelele levolumu yokungenisa kuleyo nyanga (ivolumu yokungenisa ezweni eqoqweni lika-2022/23 yayingamathani ayi-796000, ukwehla konyaka ngonyaka ngo-12.0%).

Ngemuva kokwehla konyaka nonyaka ngo-45.2% kanye nokwehla kwenyanga nenyanga ngama-30.5% ekuthengisweni kukakotini eVietnam ngoJanuwari 2023, ukuthengwa kukakotini waseVietnam kwehle kakhulu unyaka nonyaka, nokunyuka okukhulu uma kuqhathaniswa nokwangaphambilini. izinyanga zalonyaka.Umthamo wokungenisa kanye nenani likakotini waseMelika, ukotini waseBrazil, ukotini wase-Afrika, nokotini wase-Australia kuphakathi okuphezulu.Eminyakeni yamuva nje, ivolumu yokuthekelisa ukotini waseNdiya emakethe yaseVietnam yehle kakhulu, nezimpawu zokuhoxa kancane kancane.

Kungani umthamo wokungenisa ukotini waseVietnam wehle unyaka nonyaka ezinyangeni ezisanda kwedlula?Ukwahlulela kombhali kuhlobene ngokuqondile nalokhu okulandelayo:

Okunye wukuthi ngenxa yomthelela wamazwe afana neChina ne-European Union, athuthukise ngokulandelana imithetho evimbela ukuthengwa kukakotini e-Xinjiang, ukuthengiswa kwendwangu nezingubo zaseVietnam, okuhlobene kakhulu nentambo kakotini yaseChina, indwangu empunga, izindwangu, izingubo zokugqoka. , njll., nazo ziye zacindezelwa kakhulu, futhi isidingo sokusetshenziswa kukakotini sibonise ukwehla.

Okwesibili, ngenxa yomthelela wokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo yi-Federal Reserve kanye ne-European Central Bank kanye nokwehla kwamandla emali okuphezulu, ukuchuma kwendwangu kakotini nokusetshenziswa kwezingubo emazweni athuthukile njenge-Europe ne-United States kuye kwashintshashintsha futhi kwehla.Isibonelo, ngoJanuwari 2023, inani eliphelele lokuthunyelwa kwendwangu nezimpahla zokugqoka e-Vietnam e-United States lalingama-US $991 wezigidi (okubalwa ngesabelo esikhulu (cishe u-44.04%), kuyilapho ukuthunyelwa kwayo e-Japan naseNingizimu Korea kwaba ama-US $248 million kanye nama-US $244 million. , ngokulandelana, okubonisa ukwehla okukhulu uma kuqhathaniswa nesikhathi esifanayo ngo-202.

Kusukela ngekota yesine ka-2022, njengoba izimboni zendwangu kakotini nezezimpahla zokugqoka e-Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Indonesia, nakwamanye amazwe ziye zehla futhi zaphinde zanda, izinga lokuqalisa liye landa, futhi ukuncintisana namabhizinisi endwangu nezingubo zaseVietnam kuya ngokuya kushuba. , ngokulahleka kwe-oda njalo.

Okwesine, uma kuqhathaniswa nokwehla kwezinga lezimali zezwe eziningi uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika, iBhange Elikhulu LaseVietnam liwunqobe lo mkhuba womhlaba wonke ngokwandisa ukuhweba kwansuku zonke kwe-dong yase-US/Vietnamese kusuka ku-3% kuya ku-5% yenani eliphakathi nendawo. ngo-Okthoba 17, 2022, okungahambisani nendwangu kakotini yaseVietnam kanye nokuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwezingubo.Ngo-2022, nakuba izinga lokushintshisana kwe-dong yaseVietnam uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika lehle cishe ngo-6.4%, lisengenye yezimali zase-Asia ezinokwehla okuncane kakhulu.

Ngokwezibalo, ngoJanuwari 2023, ukuthengiswa kwendwangu nezingubo zaseVietnam kwaba ngamaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-2.25, ukwehla konyaka ngonyaka ngama-37.6%;Inani lokuthekelisa kwentambo lalingama-US $225 wezigidi, ukwehla konyaka nonyaka ngama-52.4%.Kuyabonakala ukuthi ukwehla okukhulu konyaka nonyaka ekuthengisweni kukakotini eVietnam ngoJanuwari nangoFebhuwari 2022 akuzange kudlule obekulindelekile, kodwa bekuyisibonakaliso esijwayelekile sesidingo sebhizinisi nezimo zemakethe.