Kusukela ngoNovemba, izimo zezulu ezindaweni ezihlukahlukene zikakotini ePakistan bezilokhu zizinhle, futhi amasimu kakotini amaningi asevuniwe.Ingqikithi yokukhiqizwa kukakotini ka-2023/24 nayo isinqunyiwe kakhulu.Nakuba inqubekelaphambili yakamuva yokufakwa ohlwini kwembewu kakotini yehle kakhulu uma iqhathaniswa nesikhathi esedlule, isibalo sokufakwa ohlwini sisadlula isamba sangonyaka odlule ngaphezu kuka-50%.Izikhungo ezizimele zilindele okuzinzile ekukhiqizweni kukakotini omusha ngamathani ayizigidi eziyi-1.28-13.2 (igebe phakathi kwamazinga aphezulu naphansi liye lancipha kakhulu);Ngokombiko wakamuva we-USDA, inani eliphelele lokukhiqizwa kukakotini ePakistan ngonyaka ka-2023/24 lalicishe libe ngamathani ayizigidi eziyi-1.415, okuthengiswe kwamanye amazwe nokuthekelisa okungamathani angama-914000 kanye namathani ayi-17000 ngokulandelana.
Izinkampani ezimbalwa zikakotini ePunjab, Sindh nakwezinye izifundazwe zithe ngokususelwa ekuthengeni ukotini wembewu, inqubekelaphambili yokucubungula, kanye nempendulo evela kubalimi, cishe kuqinisekile ukuthi ukukhiqizwa kukakotini wasePakistan kuzodlula amathani ayizigidi eziyi-1.3 ngo-2023/24.Nokho, mancane amathemba okudlula amathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.4, njengoba izikhukhula eLahore nakwezinye izindawo kusukela ngoJulayi kuya ku-August, kanye nesomiso nokuhlasela kwezinambuzane kwezinye izindawo zikakotini, zisazoba nomthelela othile ekuvunweni kukakotini.
Umbiko we-USDA Novemba ubikezela ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kukakotini wasePakistan ngonyaka wezimali wama-23/24 kuzoba amathani ayi-17000 kuphela.Ezinye izinkampani ezihwebayo kanye nabathumeli bakakotini basePakistan ngaphandle abavumelani, futhi kulinganiselwa ukuthi umthamo wangempela wonyaka wokuthekelisa uzodlula amathani angama-30000 noma ngisho nezi-50000.Umbiko we-USDA uthi uyalandela.Izizathu zingafingqwa ngale ndlela elandelayo:
Okunye ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kukakotini kwePakistan eChina, Bangladesh, Vietnam nakwamanye amazwe kuqhubekile nokukhula ngesivinini ngo-2023/24.Kulolu cwaningo, kuyabonakala ukuthi kusukela ngo-Okthoba, inani lokufika likakotini wasePakistan ovela emachwebeni amakhulu njenge-Qingdao ne-Zhangjiagang e-China belilokhu likhula ngokuqhubekayo ngo-2023/24.Izinsiza ngokuyinhloko ziyi-M 1-1/16 (i-28GPT eqinile) ne-M1-3/32 (i-28GPT eqinile).Ngenxa yenzuzo yazo yamanani, okuhambisana nokubongwa okuqhubekayo kwe-RMB uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika, amabhizinisi endwangu aphethwe yintambo kakotini enenani elimaphakathi neliphansi kanye nentambo ye-OE kancane kancane akhulise ukunaka kwawo ukotini wasePakistan.
Udaba lwesibili ukuthi izimali zokuhwebelana zangaphandle zasePakistan zihlala zisenkingeni, futhi kuyadingeka ukuthi kwandiswe ukuthunyelwa kukakotini, izintambo zikakotini neminye imikhiqizo ukuze bathole imali yangaphandle futhi kugwenywe ukuqothuka kwezwe.Ngokusho kokudalulwa kweBhange Likazwelonke lasePakistan (PBOC) ngoNovemba 16, kusukela ngoNovemba 10, izimali zokuhwebelana zangaphandle ze-PBOC zehle ngo-$114.8 million zaya ku-$7.3967 billion ngenxa yokukhokhwa kwesikweletu sangaphandle.Isamba sezimali zokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe eziphethwe yiCommercial Bank of Pakistan ziyizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-5.1388 zamadola aseMelika.Ngomhla ziyi-15 kuLwezi, i-IMF yadalula ukuthi yenze ukubuyekezwa kwayo kokuqala kohlelo lwemalimboleko yasePakistan eyizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezintathu futhi yafinyelela esivumelwaneni sezinga labasebenzi.
Okwesithathu, izigayo zikakotini zasePakistan zihlangabezane nokuphikiswa okuphawulekayo ekukhiqizeni nasekuthengisweni, ngokuncishiswa okwengeziwe nokuvalwa kokukhiqiza.Umbono wokusetshenziswa kukakotini ngo-2023/24 awunathemba, futhi amabhizinisi acubungulayo nabahwebi banethemba lokukhulisa ukuthunyelwa kukakotini othunyelwa ngaphandle futhi banciphise ingcindezi yokuhlinzeka.Ngenxa yokushoda okukhulu kwama-oda amasha, ukucindezelwa kwenzuzo okuphawulekayo okuvela ezigayweni zezintambo, kanye nokungabi namali okuqinile, amabhizinisi endwangu kakotini wasePakistan anciphise ukukhiqizwa futhi abe nezinga eliphezulu lokuvalwa.Ngokwezibalo zakamuva ezikhishwe yi-All Pakistan Textile Mills Association (APTMA), ukuthunyelwa kwezindwangu ngoSepthemba 2023 kwehle ngo-12% unyaka nonyaka (kwaya kuma-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-1.35).Ngekota yokuqala yalo nyaka wezimali (ngoJulayi kuya kuSepthemba), ukuthunyelwa kwendwangu nezingubo kwamanye amazwe kwehle kusuka ezigidini eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-4.58 zamadola aseMelika ngesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule kwaya kumadola ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-4.12, ukwehla konyaka ngonyaka ngo-9.95%.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Dec-02-2023