Umbiko wakamuva ovela kuMeluleki Wezolimo wase-US uthi ukukhiqizwa kukakotini wase-India ngo-2023/24 kwakungamabhala ayizigidi ezingu-25.5, ephakeme kancane kunalo nyaka, nendawo yokutshala ephansi kancane (ishintshela kwezinye izitshalo) kodwa isivuno esiphezulu endaweni ngayinye.Isivuno esiphezulu sisekelwe “kokulindelwe kwezinkathi zonyaka ezivamile zemvula,” esikhundleni sokuhlehla okumaphakathi kwakamuva.
Ngokwesibikezelo se-Indian Meteorological Agency, imvula yezimvula ezinkulu e-India kulo nyaka ingu-96% (+/-5%) wesilinganiso sesikhathi eside, ngokuhambisana ngokugcwele nencazelo yamazinga avamile.Imvula e-Gujarat nase-Maharashtra ingaphansi kwamazinga avamile (yize ezinye izindawo ezibalulekile zikakotini e-Maharashtra zibonisa imvula evamile).
I-Indian Meteorological Agency izoqapha eduze ukushintsha kwesimo sezulu sisuka kokungathathi hlangothi siye ku-El Ni ñ o kanye ne-Indian Ocean dipole, kokubili okuvame ukuba nomthelela emvula.Isenzakalo se-El Ni ñ o singase siphazamise i-monsoon, kuyilapho i-dipole yase-Indian Ocean ingase isuke kokubi iye kokuhle, okungase kusekele imvula eNdiya.Ukutshalwa kukakotini konyaka olandelayo eNdiya kuzoqala kusukela manje enyakatho noma ngasiphi isikhathi, kudlulele eGujarat naseMarastra maphakathi noJuni.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: May-09-2023